Feb 02 2018 35 mins 19
Forecasting global trends and developments can prove challenging even when you have the best information available. Stratfor leverages the study of applied geopolitics, tools of intelligence analysis and public report cards on our work to constantly improve our forecasting process. The team at Good Judgment Inc. seeks to directly quantify their forecasts with numerical probability assessments. In this episode of the Stratfor Podcast, we’re joined by Good Judgment’s Philip Tetlock and Warren Hatch as well as Stratfor’s Rodger Baker and Mark Fleming-Williams to explore how qualitative insight and quantitative rigor can be applied in unison to improve forecasting of global developments. This is part of a larger collaboration between Stratfor and Good Judgment as we explore the future of European integration. Read our latest analysis on this topic and more at Stratfor Worldview. If you’re not already a Worldview member, you can subscribe today at: https://worldview.stratfor.com/subscribe Related Reading: The Numeric Problem by Rodger Baker - https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/numeric-problem The Numeric Solution by Dan Gardner - https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/numeric-solution Stratfor Worldview’s 2018 Annual Forecast - https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/2018-annual-forecast Stratfor Worldview’s Decade Forecast: 2015–2025 - https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/decade-forecast-2015-2025 Make sure you don’t miss an episode of the Stratfor Podcast by subscribing on any of these platforms. iTunes: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/stratfor-talks/id1022071615?mt=2 Google Play: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Ivmzpgbaecd6nfe5dxjmgml4ube Stitcher: http://www.stitcher.com/podcast/stratfor-talks SoundCloud: https://soundcloud.com/stratfortalks YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL-6y2ai9iFHBMd-19rDy1Dj_OL1JGakPt RSS Feed: http://backtracks.fm/stratfor/stratfor-podcast/feed Have a question or comment for the Stratfor Podcast? Leave us a message and we may include your comment in a future episode. You can leave a message for our podcast team at 1-512-744-4300 x 3917 or email us at [email protected].
