民調與預測市場的落差


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Oct 23 2024 3 mins   8
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民調與場外預測市場差距甚大

目前民調顯示民主黨 Harris 在關鍵州領先,雖然優勢不大;但在預測市場(例如PolyMarket)卻大幅傾向Trump,顯示他有65.1%的勝率。