The U.S. Airlines Growing and Shrinking in 2025


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Jan 10 2025 30 mins   26 2 0

Gordon Smith and Jay Shabat crunch the big numbers to reveal which U.S. carriers are in expansion mode in the first quarter of 2025 and which operators are shrinking year-on-year.


Takeaways


  • The US airline industry is seeing a modest capacity increase of 1% for Q1 2025.

  • Delta Airlines is focusing growth on mid-continent hubs like Atlanta and Minneapolis.

  • United Airlines is experiencing the fastest growth among major carriers, with a 5% increase in capacity.

  • American Airlines is slowing down growth, particularly at major hubs like LAX and JFK.

  • Southwest Airlines is reducing capacity by 4% as part of a strategy to return to profitability.

  • Alaska Airlines is growing modestly at 2%, focusing on secondary markets.

  • JetBlue is shrinking overall by 3%, with significant cuts in Los Angeles and Newark.

  • Spirit Airlines is undergoing restructuring due to bankruptcy, leading to drastic capacity cuts.

  • Frontier Airlines is capitalizing on Spirit's struggles, with a 9% increase in capacity.

  • The competitive landscape is shifting, with low-cost carriers facing challenges while major airlines adapt to market demands.


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