The ROI Channel

Welcome back to The ROI Club!

In this episode, I was delighted to chat with John Polomny, an expert in energy and commodities investing. We explore some of the market themes I’ve had my eye on and it was fantastic to be able to run them by John.

Be sure to check out his sub stack via the link above.

A key idea that’s been on my mind recently has been moving my focus positioning my capital based on what I see happening in 18-24 months as Stanley Druckenmiller advises. This has lead me to double-down on my focus on the topics discussed in today’s podcast.

Timestamps and Key Points:

* [00:00:02] Introduction and Opportunities In Emerging Markets

* Colombia -Ecopetrol a 5x?

* PBR

* [00:10:15] Natural Gas Pricing and Global Convergence

* Why U.S. natural gas prices are likely to align with global benchmarks.

* Risks of trading futures versus investing in quality like VNOM and NFE

* [00:20:35] Royalty Models: Low-Risk, High-Reward

* Exploration of Texas Pacific Land (TPL) as a long-term inflation hedge.

* How royalty companies benefit from rising commodity prices without direct exposure to operational risks.

* [00:30:50] New Fortress Energy (NFE): A Unique Opportunity

* Analysis of NFE’s government-backed contracts and stable $7/MMBtu margins.

* Why eliminating commodity price risk creates consistent value for investors.

* [00:41:20] Geopolitical Factors and Commodity Trends

* The role of geopolitics in shaping supply and demand for energy and metals.

* How investors can position portfolios to benefit from these macro trends.

* [00:51:45] Closing Insights and Next Steps

* Key takeaways: prioritize quality, avoid speculative plays for those non-accredited and focus on durable margins.

Stay ahead,Benjamin

P.S. Love the episode? Share your thoughts or questions—I’d love to hear them!

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Disclaimer: This publication is intended solely for documenting my personal journey with trading and investments for income and travel purposes. I am not a certified financial advisor nor am I a financial professional and none of the content provided should be construed as investment advice. It is essential to conduct your own thorough research and consult a registered financial service provider for appropriate guidance. I cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information presented. Any actions taken based on the information shared in any of my work are done at your own risk and discretion.