How long will Starmer’s ‘war bounce’ last?


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Mar 07 2025 10 mins   266 1 0
Trump has been stealing the headlines when it comes to Ukraine this week, but Europe – and whether it can stay united in the face of the US pulling its support – remains an important subplot. At a summit yesterday, 27 countries backed the plan to increase spending on defence, but when will the cracks start to show?

Thankfully, it seems that the Prime Minister is good in a crisis. Back at home, he has seen a modest bounce in popularity and he is making a good impression in Brussels, coming across as assured without grandstanding. He has also been leading on defence spending – could defence be the way in for Starmer to renegotiate a new position within the EU? Is Starmer having a good crisis?

Katy Balls speaks to James Heale and Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform.

Produced by Oscar Edmondson.