EV Surge Projected: Global Sales Hit 17M in 2024 as Market Dynamics Shift Towards Electrification


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Dec 01 2024 3 mins  
The electric vehicle (EV) industry continues to exhibit robust growth, driven by increasing competition, falling battery prices, and ongoing policy support. Recent market movements indicate a significant shift towards electrification, with global EV sales projected to reach 17 million in 2024, a 20% increase from 2023[2][3].

In the United States, EV sales have seen a steady increase, with the second quarter of 2024 witnessing an 18.7% market share of electric and hybrid vehicles in total new light-duty vehicle sales, up from 17.8% in the first quarter[1]. The average transaction price of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in the U.S. decreased from $57,405 in January 2024 to $56,371 in June 2024, according to Cox Automotive[1].

Luxury electric vehicles have been particularly successful, accounting for 32.8% of total luxury sales in the second quarter of 2024. Tesla, although still the leading manufacturer, no longer holds the majority share of electric vehicle sales, with its market share decreasing to 48.9% in the second quarter of 2024[1].

Globally, China remains the largest market for electric vehicles, with sales projected to reach 10 million in 2024, accounting for 45% of total car sales in the country[2][3]. The growth in emerging economies such as Vietnam, Thailand, and India has also been notable, with electric car sales increasing by over 50% in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023[3].

Regulatory changes, including new emissions standards and industrial incentives, continue to support the growth of the EV industry. The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act, for example, provides incentives for domestic manufacturing and battery production, boosting industry investment and confidence in rapid electrification[2].

In terms of new product launches, General Motors saw a significant increase in EV sales in the third quarter of 2024, up nearly 60% to 32,095 units, thanks to strong sales from its Cadillac, Chevrolet, and GMC brands[5]. Tesla also returned to growth mode in the third quarter, with sales up 6.6%, driven by the newly introduced Cybertruck[5].

Consumer behavior is shifting towards more affordable EV options, with the average price paid for an EV in the third quarter of 2024 being just over $57,000, a premium of approximately 19% compared to the industry-wide average transaction price[5]. Supply chain developments, including the rapid development of EV supply chains in Mexico, stimulated by access to subsidies from the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act, are also supporting industry growth[2].

Overall, the EV industry is on track to achieve significant growth in 2024, driven by increasing competition, falling prices, and ongoing policy support. Industry leaders are responding to current challenges by launching new products, investing in domestic manufacturing, and leveraging incentives to drive sales. The shift towards electrification is expected to continue, with electric vehicles projected to account for nearly one in five cars sold globally by 2030[2].