Trump, 1982 & civil strife with Bashshar Haydar & Michael Young


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Nov 10 2024 65 mins   6
POINT COUNTERPOINT - Episode 2

An exchange on political affairs impacting Lebanon and the Middle East, with a unique vantage point from Beirut.

Co-hosted by Bashshar Haydar (professor of philosophy at AUB) and Michael Young (senior editor at Carnegie’s Middle East Center and editor of Diwan) - both Beirut-based analysts sharing their nuanced perspectives while honing in on disagreements.

Episode 2 covers three topics: (1) Trump's election win and what that means for US policy towards Lebanon; (2) the example of 1982 and drawing parallels between Western support for Bachir Gemayel's presidency and Joseph Aoun's current status as a potential consensus candidate; and (3) examining preconditions for internal strife and why the likelihood for a return to civil war is low.

Michael Young's articles discussed during this episode include:

"Trump or Harris? It's pointless to ask who's better for the Middle East" - The National
https://www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comment/2024/11/06/donald-trump-kamala-harris-middle-east-foreign-policy-israel-gaza/

and "Is Hezbollah Moving In?" - Diwan
https://carnegieendowment.org/middle-east/diwan/2024/10/coming-to-a-neighborhood-near-you?lang=en

Stay tuned for more episodes.

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Timestamps:
0:00 Intro
1:53 Donald Trump's election win
20:16 The Example of 1982
43:04 The Potential for Civil Strife
1:04:34 Outro