Can Real Estate Really Predict the Economy? Insights from Property Expert Barry Williams


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Nov 09 2024 51 mins   1

Episode 184 of The Business Development Podcast features Barry Williams, an assistant professor at MacEwan University and seasoned property management expert. In this episode, Kelly Kennedy and Barry discuss how real estate serves as an economic indicator, particularly through housing starts, which can predict economic trends up to a year in advance. Barry explains the nuances of property management and offers insights for entrepreneurs considering commercial real estate investments, emphasizing the importance of understanding the financial and operational responsibilities of property ownership. He also delves into the changes in the real estate landscape post-COVID, particularly the shift towards remote work, which has left much office space underutilized.

Throughout their conversation, Barry provides practical advice on topics such as market surveys, negotiating lease terms, and assessing the viability of purchasing versus leasing office spaces. He highlights the complexities involved in managing a building, from energy efficiency to handling potentially costly issues like asbestos. For business owners, Barry's insights offer valuable guidance on navigating the challenges of property investment and management in today’s dynamic economic environment.

Key Takeaways:

1. Real estate trends, especially housing starts, can be valuable economic indicators that forecast shifts up to a year in advance.

2. Property management involves more than ownership; managing a building includes maintenance, financial management, and HR skills.

3. Entrepreneurs should assess both short-term and long-term needs when deciding between leasing and purchasing real estate.

4. A market survey is essential when leasing or buying; understanding local rental rates and amenities helps ensure a fair deal.

5. Office space demand has shifted post-COVID, with many companies now favoring remote or hybrid work models, impacting vacancy rates.

6. Energy efficiency in buildings can significantly affect operational costs, making modern, eco-friendly properties a wise investment.

7. Common area costs in commercial buildings can be a substantial expense; be sure to account for them when budgeting.

8. Converting office buildings into residential spaces is costly and requires a clear financial recovery plan.

9. Specialized maintenance issues, such as asbestos or mold abatement, can dramatically increase building management costs.

10. The decision to buy or lease commercial property depends on financing costs, long-term plans, and the potential return on investment.


Companies mentioned in this episode:

  • MacEwan University
  • Epic Investment Services
  • BGIS
  • Aiyer and Oxford Inc.
  • Bentall Kennedy
  • Boardwalk REIT
  • Widener
  • Real Estate Institute of Canada
  • BOMA

Links referenced in this episode: