Will Government Layoffs Push Mortgage Rates Lower in 2025?


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Feb 28 2025 5 mins   55
Could rising unemployment from government job cuts lead to lower mortgage rates this year? In this episode of Real Estate News for Investors, host Kathy Fettke dives into a new analysis from Logan Mohtashami at HousingWire that explores this critical question.

Kathy breaks down expert insights on where mortgage rates and the 10-year yield could be headed as labor market trends shift. She also examines whether tighter mortgage spreads could push rates closer to 6%, how changes in employment impact the Federal Reserve’s policies, and what’s happening with housing inventory, purchase applications, and home prices.

Will mortgage rates drop as jobless claims rise, or will other economic forces keep them elevated? Tune in for expert analysis and market predictions.

00:00 Government Layoffs and Mortgage Rates
00:28 Mortgage Rates and Bond Activity
01:10 Labor Market Data
01:46 Mortgage Spreads
02:35 Purchase Applications
03:00 Pending Contracts
03:25 New Listings and Listing Activity
04:09 Closing Thoughts
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