Apr 14 2025 251 mins 93
We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution.
We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like.1 It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes.
(A condensed two-hour version with footnotes and text boxes removed is available at the above link.)
