Problems with Nate Silver's Model


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Jan 17 2025 41 mins   10

Rutgers statistician Harry Crane critiques Nate Silver's model.

Timestamps

1:49: Intro ends

3:55: Interview begins

4:08: Crane's bio

8:50: Nate Silver

10:42: Critique of Silver's model

12:42: Silver's criticism of prediction markets

23:57: Silver as tout

25:04: Silver's model

27:48: Simulations in Silver's model

30:51: 50-50 election forecasts

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