Grain Markets and Other Stuff

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0:00 Massie Hates Ethanol
4:34 Corn Holds Support
6:15 Russian Wheat Exports
8:58 Mex/US Negotiations
10:00 Gold Selloff
11:00 Stock Market Selloff

Massie's Controversial Comment on Ethanol 🛢️
U.S. Representative Thomas Massie posted a controversial comment on X, arguing that ethanol subsidies and mandates should be excluded from the Republican reconciliation plan. He claims that using corn for fuel increases food prices. As a farmer, Massie has a long history of advocating for reforms in agriculture, health, and food policy. This sparked a response from the Renewable Fuels Association. 🌽⚡

Corn Futures Bounce After Hitting Support 📉🔼
Corn futures bounced on Tuesday after hitting technical support near $4.88 per bushel. The May25 contract ended the day near $4.94, marking its third consecutive lower close. Traders are speculating about an increase in U.S. corn acreage ahead of the USDA Ag Outlook Forum data, which will be released tomorrow. The Prospective Plantings report comes out March 31st. 🌾📈

Russian Wheat Exports Revised Downward 🌾
Sovecon revised Russia’s wheat export forecast down to 42.2mmt, a slight decrease from the previous estimate of 42.8mmt. Analysts are concerned about limited snow cover leaving the crop vulnerable to frosts. However, the 2025/2026 export forecast was slightly increased. Russia continues to face challenges with its wheat exports this season. 🌍📉

Mexico-U.S. Trade Talks Heat Up 🇲🇽🤝🇺🇸
Mexican officials are meeting with U.S. representatives this week to discuss trade policy ahead of next week’s tariff deadline. Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum stated a deal is likely to avoid a trade war, but retaliatory tariffs are on the table if an agreement isn't reached. Canada has also warned of tariffs on U.S. exports. The 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports are set to proceed as planned. 🌎💸

Gold Prices Drop After Hitting Record High 💰📉
Gold prices plunged by 1.4% on Tuesday, following an all-time high reached the previous day. The decline came amid uncertainty over President Trump’s proposed tariffs and weak economic data. Speculators reduced their net long positions in gold, signaling that its upward trend may be stalling. 📉💎

Stock Market Struggles 📉
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced their fourth consecutive day of losses on Tuesday, with declines of about 3.8% and 4.5%, respectively. The drop was fueled by the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index, which showed a third consecutive monthly decline. Concerns over President Trump’s tariffs and inflation fears have contributed to the market's struggles. 📉📊