Grain Markets and Other Stuff

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0:00 94mil Corn Acres?
7:34 New Tariff Update
9:34 Southwest Airlines Ditches SAF Plans
13:30 Drought Update
16:07 Export Sales

USDA Projects Record Corn Crop 🌽
The USDA anticipates a significant increase in corn acreage this season, with farmers expected to plant 94 million acres, up 3.8% from last year. Corn’s favorable prices are a key driver of this increase, and the total corn production is projected to hit a record 15.6 billion bushels. However, soybean acreage is expected to decline by 3.6%, with 84 million acres planted, resulting in the fourth-largest soybean crop on record at 4.4 billion bushels. Wheat acreage is expected to rise by 2%, reaching 47 million acres. 📊

Trump's Tariff Plan Escalates 💥
President Trump announced an additional 10% tariff on China and confirmed that the previously planned 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports will go into effect on March 4. These tariffs are aimed at addressing trade imbalances and the flow of fentanyl into the US. While the tariffs are set to hit a range of imports, including steel, it’s still unclear whether corn and soybeans will be directly impacted by retaliatory measures from Canada or Mexico. 🛑🌏

Southwest Airlines Scales Back on SAF 🌱✈️
Southwest Airlines is cutting back its commitment to sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). The airline laid off employees and terminated its newly-formed team focused on cleaner fuels. SAF, which is derived from feedstocks like corn husks, has become an important part of efforts to reduce climate pollution, but it represents less than 0.1% of Southwest's total jet fuel use. The airline had previously committed to using 10% SAF by 2030, but its decision signals challenges in reaching that goal. 🚫🌍

Drought Conditions Worsen Across US 🌞
The USDA's weekly drought monitor shows worsening conditions across much of the Corn Belt, with 40% of the region affected by drought. In particular, the percentage of US corn areas impacted by drought rose by 11%, while soybean areas saw a 10% increase in drought conditions. The High Plains also experienced drought expansion, notably in southern Kansas and western Oklahoma. 🌾💧

Corn Export Sales Fall Short 📉
US corn export sales were disappointing last week, coming in at 794,700mt (31 million bushels), down 45% from the previous week. This is the lowest sales number in weeks, with Mexico being the largest buyer. Similarly, wheat export sales were also below expectations, while soybean sales saw a slight uptick. These weak sales could impact the overall US agricultural market in the coming weeks. 📦🚫