Grain Markets and Other Stuff

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0:00 China Hikes Tariff Rate
4:24 Corn is Friendly
11:15 Export Sales
13:34 Drought Monitor
16:43 South America Update

China Announces Tariff Hike to 125% 📉📦
China has increased tariffs on U.S. imports to 125%, up from the previously planned 84%. The new rate will take effect tomorrow, with Beijing asserting that American goods are no longer marketable in China. Chinese officials have dismissed U.S. tariffs as ineffective, calling them a tool of economic bullying. This move adds more strain to an already tense trade relationship. 😡📊

USDA Reduces US Corn Ending Stocks 🌽📉
The USDA reduced its 2024/2025 U.S. corn ending stocks more than anticipated, down to 1.465 billion bushels, driven by a 100 million bushel increase in the corn export forecast. This revision caused corn futures to rise by 9 cents, reaching their highest point in nearly six weeks. While soybean ending stocks came in as expected, wheat ending stocks were higher than anticipated. 📈🌾

US Export Sales Decline Across the Board 📉🌍
U.S. export sales saw a decline across corn, soybean, and wheat markets last week. Net corn sales were down 33%, net soybean sales dropped by 58%, and wheat sales also fell sharply by 68%. This trend signals potential challenges for U.S. agriculture as global demand slows. 🌎📉

Improvement in Corn Belt Drought Conditions 🌧️
Drought conditions across the U.S. Corn Belt improved significantly due to widespread heavy rainfall. Areas such as Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio saw conditions improve, while scattered rainfall in the High Plains also alleviated drought in central Oklahoma and northern Kansas. However, conditions worsened in parts of South Dakota and North Dakota. 🌾💧

Brazil's Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts Rise 📈🇧🇷
Brazil's corn production forecast was raised to 124.7 million metric tons, up from the March estimate. The revision reflects favorable conditions for Brazil's second corn crop. Additionally, Brazil's soybean production estimate was slightly raised to 167.9 million metric tons. Conversely, Argentina's corn forecast was increased to 48.5 million metric tons, while its soybean forecast was trimmed to 45.5 million metric tons. 🌽📊