May 07 2024 109 mins 7
Episode 842 Part 1 - What to Look For
Host: Justin Mason @JustinMasonFWFB
Co-Host: Dave McDonald @RunDMCD
Host: Justin Mason @JustinMasonFWFB
Co-Host: Dave McDonald @RunDMCD
- Recent MLB News
- Arraez traded to SD
- Parker Meadows demoted to AAA
- Buxton knee to IL
- Musgrove elbow inflammation IL
- Kwan hamstring IL
- Langford hamstring IL
- Lane Thomas knee IL
- Trout knee IL - “should be back this season”
- Evan Phillips hamstring IL
- Yelich, Bellinger, Suzuki, Sano all getting close to returning later this week or next
- Steele back, Ben Brown to bullpen, Wesneski staying in rotation for now
- Woo, Garrett, Pivetta and Bello likely returning this week
- Christian Scott, Mason Black, Jack Leiter, Jordan Beck, Joey Loperfido, Tyler Black, Kyle Manzardo, Bryan Ramos, PCA all up
- Gasser coming up to start Friday?
- Skenes not coming up this week?
- Holliday, Mervis, Clase, Jordan Walker sent down
- What to look for at this point in the season:
- Pitchers
- SIERA not ERA
- WHIP will stabilize eventually but it’s too early
- Ks and BBs stabilize early, but SwStrk% is more telling for Ks early
- Check HR rate, BABIP and LOB% for luck
- Hitters
- Check AVG vs xBA
- For AVG look at Contact% Z-Con% LD% BABIP HH% K% not AVG
- For power, look at EV50, Pull%, barrel%, FB%, HR/FB not HRs
- Also look at historical results and compare how they’re doing in these stats vs historical trends
- Have to be able to figure out what just looks like a hot streak and what’s sustainable legitimate growth
- Adell: K% and SwStrk% way down, barrel% and HH% way up, contact% way up, Z-Con% way up, BABIP normal
- Pitchers
- Don’t just look at results - look under the hood
- Connor Wong vs Logan O’Hoppe
- Wong: 98.9 EV50 (206) / HH: 33% / 6.7% barrel / xBA .248
- O’Hoppe: 100.6 EV50 (100) / HH: 47% / 8.3% barrel / xBA .270
- check HR/FB, BABIP
