The Numbers

Mar 06 2025 56 ep. 51 mins 125
The Numbers Podcast artwork

Éric Grenier and Philippe J. Fournier provide their unique perspective and analysis on federal and provincial politics across Canada. Become a Patron for full access to exclusive content!
Get bonus content on Patreon
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

  News
RSS feed Share
Copy RSS


Subscribe on Podcast Addict


Has the Liberal surge peaked already?

Mar 06 2025 45 mins  
A series of polls published last week put the Liberals and Conservatives neck-and-neck. This week, the numbers are putting Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives back in front by a sizeable margin. Has the Liberal surge already ended?This week on The Numbers, we dissect the latest federal polling numbers. We also do a round of over/unders on Sunday’s Liberal leadership race where Mar

About last night in Ontario...

Feb 28 2025 25 mins  
Doug Ford gambled when he called an early election, but it paid off in spades last night as his Progressive Conservatives won their third consecutive majority government. It wasn’t necessarily the bigger mandate he wanted, but a win’s a win. And that was a win.The surprise of the night, though, was the performance of Marit Stiles’s NDP. The party’s vote went down significan

The polls have gone crazy

Feb 26 2025 38 mins  
It’s been a whirlwind few weeks in the polls as the Liberals have closed the gap on the Conservatives. At first, the Liberals were merely on track for a smaller defeat than before. But now the polls are pointing to the possibility that the prime minister after the next election might not be Pierre Poilievre. It could be Mark Carney.This week on The Numbers, we delve into the wild

The NDP is in deep trouble

Feb 20 2025 52 mins  
As the Liberals close the gap on Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives, Jagmeet Singh’s New Democrats are in danger of being completely eclipsed. Polls even suggest that if Mark Carney becomes the new Liberal leader, the NDP could be pushed into single digits.And in Ontario, Marit Stiles’s NDP could lose half of its seats (or more) as the fight for second place appears to be Bonni

Is it a whole new race?

Feb 13 2025 54 mins  
The Liberals have made significant gains in a number of recent polls, closing the gap with Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives, in some case, to single-digits. And when Mark Carney is substituted-in for Justin Trudeau, that gap disappears entirely. Have we entered an entirely new federal race?On this week’s episode of The Numbers we also discuss some of the latest polling numbers

Something's happening in the polls

Feb 06 2025 49 mins  
The trend is getting irrefutable — the Liberals have reversed their slide since Justin Trudeau’s resignation. But just how competitive is the race really getting, and how much of it is based on the idea of Mark Carney rather than the reality?On this week’s episode of The Numbers, we discuss some of the latest federal polling numbers and what they mean. We also discuss the fou

Are the Liberals up a lot, a bit, or not at all?

Jan 30 2025 48 mins  
One thing seems clear these days: the polls aren’t very clear these days.While there appears to be some indication of a Liberal uptick since Justin Trudeau’s resignation, there are big disagreements about just how big that uptick is. Not only is there a discrepancy in the federal polls, there are diverging polls in Ontario’s election campaign, too. Could the two be related �

Will Ontario give Doug Ford a new mandate?

Jan 23 2025 34 mins  
Citing the need for a new, stronger mandate to take on Donald Trump’s tariffs, Doug Ford looks poised to call an Ontario election more than a year ahead of schedule. It’s a campaign that would play out while Justin Trudeau is still prime minister and Pierre Poilievre isn’t. Is this a smart political gambit for Ford’s PCs, or could it blow up in the premier’s face?This wee

Who's in, who's out, and who has a chance?

Jan 16 2025 47 mins  
This week on The Numbers, we take a look at the winnowing field of Liberal leadership contestants. We also discuss some new polling numbers that suggest the Conservatives have grown their support since Justin Trudeau announced he was resigning as prime minister.Plus, is Doug Ford preparing to send Ontarians to the polls?You can also watch this episode on YouTube.Want even more of T

Now that Trudeau's out, who'll replace him?

Jan 09 2025 56 mins  
This week on The Numbers, we discuss the impact of Justin Trudeau’s resignation as prime minister and Liberal leader, as well as the early moves in the contest to replace him. What do the polls say about the chances his successor will have against Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives?And who will that successor be? We hold an auction to choose our picks for the most likely winn