Probable Causation

Jan 14 2025 100 ep. 49 mins 3k
Probable Causation Podcast artwork

A show about law, economics, and crime.

  Society & Culture  Science  Government
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Episode 84: Alex Albright on bail reform (REBROADCAST)

Jan 14 2025 52 mins  
Alex Albright talks about money bail and the effects of bail reform. “No Money Bail, No Problems? Trade-offs in a Pretrial Automatic Release Program” by Alex Albright. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Tripping through Hoops: The Effect of Violating Compulsory Government Procedures” by Natalia Emanuel and Helen Ho. “The Effects of Pretrial Detention on Convi

Episode 111: Roman Rivera on electronic monitoring during the pretrial period

Dec 17 2024 58 mins  
Roman Rivera talks about the effects of electronic monitoring for US pretrial defendants. “Release, Detain, or Surveil? The Effect of Electronic Monitoring on Defendant Outcomes” by Roman Rivera. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "The Effects of Pretrial Detention on Conviction, Future Crime, and Employment: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Judges" by Will Dobbie, Jac

Episode 110: Aurélie Ouss on misaligned incentives in the criminal justice system

Nov 19 2024 46 mins  
Aurélie Ouss talks about how changing who pays for incarceration affects sentencing decisions. “Misaligned incentives and the scale of incarceration in the United States” by Aurélie Ouss. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: The Collapse of American Criminal Justice by William J. Stuntz. "The rise in the disability rolls and the decline in unemployment" by David H.

Episode 109: Anjali Adukia on restorative justice practices in schools

Oct 22 2024 44 mins  
Anjali Adukia talks about how using restorative justice practices in schools affects student behavior. “From Retributive to Restorative: An Alternative Approach to Justice in Schools” by Anjali Adukia, Benjamin Feigenberg, and Fatemeh Momeni. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Breaking Schools’ Rules: A Statewide Study of How School Discipline Relates to Students�

Episode 13: Ariel White on short jail spells and subsequent voting behavior (REBROADCAST)

Sep 24 2024 44 mins  
Ariel White talks about the effect of short jail spells on subsequent voting behavior. This episode was first posted in October 2019. "Misdemeanor Disenfranchisement? The Demobilizing Effects of Brief Jail Spells on Potential Voters" by Ariel White. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Turnout and Party Registration among Criminal Offenders in the 2008 General Election" by

Episode 7: Jeff Weaver on the effects of parental and sibling incarceration (REBROADCAST)

Aug 27 2024 65 mins  
Jeff Weaver talks about the long-term effects of parental and sibling incarceration. This episode was first posted in July 2019. "The Effect of Parental and Sibling Incarceration: Evidence from Ohio" by Samuel Norris, Matthew Pecenco, and Jeffrey Weaver. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Disrupted Childhoods: Children of Women in Prison” by Jane A. Siegal. “Paren

Episode 108: Emma Rackstraw on "Copaganda"

Jul 30 2024 66 mins  
Emma Rackstraw talks about how reality TV affects policing outcomes. “When Reality TV Creates Reality: How ‘Copaganda’ Affects Police, Communities, and Viewers” by Emma Rackstraw. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: Arrest Decisions: What Works for the Officer? by Edith Linn "‘No Hatred or Malice, Fear or Affection’: Media and Sentencing" by Arnaud Philippe an

Episode 107: David Macdonald on truth-in-sentencing policies

Jul 02 2024 71 mins  
David Macdonald talks about the effects of truth-in-sentencing policies. “Truth in Sentencing, Incentives and Recidivism” by David Macdonald. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Police, prosecutors, criminals, and determinate sentencing: The truth about truth-in-sentencing laws” by Joanna M. Shepherd. “Responses to more severe punishment in the courtroom: Evide

Episode 106: Ryan Sakoda on post-release supervision

Jun 04 2024 67 mins  
Ryan Sakoda talks about the effects of post-release supervision. “Abolish or Reform? An Analysis of Post-Release Supervision” by Ryan Sakoda. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: “Intensive Probation and Parole" by Joan Petersilia and Susan Turner. “The Effects of Low-Intensity Supervision for Lower-Risk Probationers: Updated Results from a Randomized Controlle

Episode 105: Amanda Agan on how sealing criminal records affects employment

May 07 2024 60 mins  
Amanda Agan talks about how sealing criminal records affects employment. “Can you Erase the Mark of a Criminal Record? Labor Market Impacts of Criminal Record Remediation” by Amanda Agan, Andrew Garin, Dmitri Koustas, Alex Mas, and Crystal Yang. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: Probable Causation Episode 9: Michael Mueller-Smith “Ban the Box, Criminal Records,