AI-Generated Audio for Planned Obsolescence

Nov 21 2024 16 ep. 6 mins 27

AI-Generated Audio for Planned Obsolescence Podcast artwork

Audio versions of posts at https://www.planned-obsolescence.org/ Read by AI trained on the author's voice. Please excuse any stiltedness -- it's learning!

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OpenAI's CBRN tests seem unclear

Nov 21 2024 13 mins

OpenAI says o1-preview can't meaningfully help novices make chemical and biological weapons. Their test results don’t clearly establish this. https://planned-obsolescence.org/openais-cbrn-tests-seem-unclear

Dangerous capability tests should be harder

Aug 20 2024 8 mins

We should be spending less time proving today’s AIs are safe and more time figuring out how to tell if tomorrow’s AIs are dangerous: planned-obsolescence.org/dangerous-capability-tests-should-be-harder

Scale, schlep, and systems

Oct 10 2023 9 mins

This startlingly fast progress in LLMs was driven both by scaling up LLMs and doing schlep to make usable systems out of them. We think scale and schlep will both improve rapidly: planned-obsolescence.org/scale-schlep-and-systems

Language models surprised us

Aug 29 2023 8 mins

Most experts were surprised by progress in language models in 2022 and 2023. There may be more surprises ahead, so experts should register their forecasts now about 2024 and 2025: https://planned-obsolescence.org/language-models-surprised-us

Could AI accelerate economic growth?

Jun 06 2023 4 mins

Most new technologies don’t accelerate the pace of economic growth. But advanced AI might do this by massively increasing the research effort going into developing new technologies.

The costs of caution

May 01 2023 4 mins

Both AI fears and AI hopes rest on the belief that it may be possible to build alien minds that can do everything we can do and much more. AI-driven technological progress could save countless lives and make everyone massively healthier and wealthier: https://planned-obsolescence.org/the-costs-of-caution

Continuous doesn't mean slow

Apr 12 2023 3 mins

Once a lab trains AI that can fully replace its human employees, it will be able to multiply its workforce 100,000x. If these AIs do AI research, they could develop vastly superhuman systems in under a year: https://planned-obsolescence.org/continuous-doesnt-mean-slow

AIs accelerating AI research

Apr 04 2023 5 mins

Researchers could potentially design the next generation of ML models more quickly by delegating some work to existing models, creating a feedback loop of ever-accelerating progress. https://planned-obsolescence.org/ais-accelerating-ai-research

Is it time for a pause?

Mar 30 2023 6 mins

The single most important thing we can do is to pause when the next model we train would be powerful enough to obsolete humans entirely. If it were up to me, I would slow down AI development starting now — and then later slow down even more: https://www.planned-obsolescence.org/is-it-time-for-a-pause/

The ethics of AI red-teaming

Mar 26 2023 2 mins

If we’ve decided we’re collectively fine with unleashing millions of spam bots, then the least we can do is actually study what they can – and can’t – do: https://www.planned-obsolescence.org/ethics-of-red-teaming/